ilmscore | Yen Carry Trade Unwind Predictions
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Recent Predictions

Total: 6
Correct: 1
Incorrect: 1
Pending: 4
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
The yen carry trade began to unwind approximately 10 months prior to this transcript, causing markets to decline and significant FUD.
"The Japanese carry trade started to unwind. The yen carry trade, I should say, started to unwind. Ma..."
Jun 16, 2025
Pending
The yen carry trade began to unwind in 2024 following the Bank of Japan's first interest rate hike in decades, causing the yen to appreciate over 10% in two weeks.
"And that's exactly what started to happen in 2024. The Bank of Japan raised interest rates for the f..."
May 27, 2025
Correct
In 2024, the Bank of Japan's first interest rate hike in decades caused the yen to appreciate by over 10% in a few weeks, signaling the start of the carry trade unwind.
"And that's exactly what started to happen in 2024. The Bank of Japan raised interest rates for the f..."
May 27, 2025
Incorrect
Net short positions in Yen contracts, as tracked by the CFTC, were halved between early July and early August, and were nearly fully unwound by August 6th.
"net short positions in Yen contracts tracked by the US commodity Futures Trading commission had halv..."
Aug 21, 2024
Pending
Following the BoJ's policy shift, the dollar-yen exchange rate fell from approximately 155 to a low of 142, and is currently around 145.
"dollar Yen went from about 155 to I think a low yesterday was 142 Now we're about about 145 right no..."
Aug 7, 2024
Pending
The unwinding of the Yen carry trade may continue to suppress markets for the remainder of the week.
"it's possible that the unwind of the Yen carry trade will continue to keep markets suppressed throug..."
Aug 5, 2024
Pending